In the 2019 Andhra Pradesh elections, exit polls from various agencies offered different predictions for the Assembly and Lok Sabha seats. Some agencies accurately predicted the YSR Congress Party’s (YSRCP) success, leading to their formation of the government, while others, like TV5, incorrectly predicted a victory for the Telugu Desam Party (TDP).
Assembly Election Predictions:
The table below highlights the predictions from different agencies for the Andhra Pradesh Assembly elections and compares them to the actual results:
| Agency | YSRCP | TDP | JSP |
|---|---|---|---|
| INDIA TODAY-AXIS MY INDIA | 130-135 | 37-40 | 1 |
| News18-IPSOS | 110-125 | 50-61 | 1 |
| Times Now-CNX | 111 | 63 | 1 |
| CVoter | 120-130 | 45-55 | 1 |
| Actual Result | 151 | 23 | 1 |
Among these agencies, INDIA TODAY-AXIS MY INDIA and CVoter were the closest in predicting the YSRCP’s overwhelming victory.
Lok Sabha Election Predictions:
Similarly, for the Lok Sabha elections, various agencies provided their predictions:
| Agency | YSRCP | TDP | JSP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Times Now-VMR | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| CVoter | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| TODAY’S CHANAKYA | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| REPUBLIC-JAN KI BAAT | 11 | 14 | 1 |
| INDIA TODAY-AXIS MY INDIA | 18-20 | 2-6 | 1 |
| News18-IPSOS | 13-14 | 10-12 | 1 |
| Actual Result | 22 | 3 | 0 |
The accuracy of the exit polls varied, with some agencies such as INDIA TODAY-AXIS MY INDIA and CVoter providing more accurate predictions compared to others. These results highlight the challenges and uncertainties associated with exit polls and emphasize the importance of considering multiple sources when analyzing election predictions. Ultimately, the YSR Congress Party’s (YSRCP) significant win in both Assembly and Lok Sabha elections underscored their strong electoral presence in Andhra Pradesh during the 2019 elections.
